As the 2025 WSOP Main Event final table heads toward its dramatic conclusion in Las Vegas, betting markets on Polymarket are now decisively favoring Michael Mizrachi to win poker’s biggest title.
Current Polymarket odds snapshot (as of July 16):
- Michael Mizrachi: 85%
- John Wasnock: 11%
- Kenny Hallaert: 3%
- Braxton Dunaway: 3%
This marks a stunning shift from earlier in the final table when the market was wide open, with multiple contenders priced closely. Mizrachi’s dominant performance on Day 1—where he built a towering chip lead—has completely changed the betting landscape.
Heading into Day 2, Mizrachi holds 445.5 million in chips, a massive 178 big blinds, dwarfing the stacks of the other three players. His mix of experience, aggression, and run-good has convinced bettors he’s the runaway favorite for the $10 million first prize.
John Wasnock, despite having over 94 million in chips (38 big blinds), trails far behind in market pricing at 11%. His earlier momentum was stalled by a crucial cooler against Mizrachi (A♠K♦ beating K♠K♣), a hand that defined Day 1’s shift in dynamics.
Kenny Hallaert (19 million, 8 big blinds) and Braxton Dunaway (25.5 million, 10 big blinds) are extreme short stacks, reflected in their long odds of just 3% each. Still, the nature of short-handed poker means they’re not completely out of contention—variance can always create surprises.
Markets Signal Near Certainty but Not Total Closure
While Mizrachi’s 85% share shows overwhelming confidence, the market hasn’t completely closed the door on the others. Poker’s inherent variance, and the possibility of huge all-in pots, leave a slim window for a comeback.
With play resuming at 2:00 p.m. local time and a one-hour delayed broadcast on PokerGO, all eyes will be on Mizrachi to see if he can finish one of the most dominant Main Event final tables in years.
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