WSOP 2025 Main Event: Betting Markets Favor Mizrachi but Show Wide-Open Race

As the 2025 WSOP Main Event final table approaches, betting markets are offering a fascinating window into how the poker world views the remaining contenders. On Polymarket, a popular prediction market platform, odds reflect both experience and chip counts—but also the unpredictable nature of poker’s biggest stage.

Polymarket odds snapshot (as of today):

• Michael Mizrachi: 20%
• Kenny Hallaert: 16%
• John Wasnock: 15%
• Braxton Dunaway: 14%
• Adam Hendrix: 13%
• Luka Bojovic: 13%
• Leo Margets: 9%
• Daehyung Lee: 5%
• Jarod Minghini: 4%

Leading the market is Michael “The Grinder” Mizrachi at 20%, pricing around 21c to buy on Polymarket. The 4x Poker Players Championship winner is the biggest name left in the field and enters the final table second in chips with 93 million. His deep WSOP pedigree, including this being his second Main Event final table, clearly makes him the most respected contender among bettors—even if the edge is slim.

Second in the market is Kenny Hallaert at 16%. The Belgian pro is making his second Main Event final table appearance after finishing sixth in 2016, and his 80.5 million chip stack places him squarely in contention. Bettors see both his experience and steady approach as assets in the deep-structured finale.

John Wasnock, the final table chip leader with 108.1 million, sits at 15% in the market—underscoring that while he holds the most chips, his relative anonymity and lack of big-stage experience leave some skepticism about closing it out.

Braxton Dunaway, another American finalist with 91.9 million chips and a prior WSOP bracelet (Monster Stack 2023), is trading at 14%, close behind the leaders. His solid stack and proven ability in massive fields make him a legitimate threat.

Adam Hendrix and Luka Bojovic both hover at 13% odds. Hendrix is a highly respected American pro with over $8 million in live earnings, known for technical skill and WSOP consistency. Bojovic, from Serbia, is making his second WSOP Main Event final table after an eighth-place finish in WSOP Europe last year—giving him some big-stage experience that bettors haven’t overlooked.

Leo Margets, who made history as the first woman in 30 years to reach the Las Vegas Main Event final table, is trading at 9%. The Spanish pro brings plenty of experience—including a WSOP bracelet and years as an ambassador—but starts with a middle-of-the-pack stack (53.4 million).

Further down, Daehyung Lee at 5% and Jarod Minghini at 4% round out the field. Both have the shortest stacks and face the toughest climb, reflected in long odds despite poker’s inherent variance.

The betting market highlights how balanced this final table is. While Mizrachi leads in betting share, he’s only at 20%, showing no clear overwhelming favorite. The spread between the top six contenders is relatively tight, indicating bettors see multiple viable paths to victory.

With blinds set to resume at 800,000/1,600,000 (and a 1,600,000 big blind ante), deep stacks will still allow for plenty of maneuvering. The $10 million first prize and the WSOP Main Event bracelet remain within reach for every finalist, making this one of the most competitive and intriguing final tables in years.

For poker fans—and bettors alike—it promises high drama when play resumes.